BTC Event Probability Forecaster
VerifiedForecast probability and confidence for BTC price/event outcomes using market + macro context.
Forecast probability and confidence for BTC price/event outcomes using market + macro context.
Finds price discrepancies for identical events across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold in real time.
Risk guardrail skill that recommends position limits and stop logic under changing volatility.
Aggregates social sentiment from X, Reddit, and Telegram into a directional score with trend shifts.
Turns raw crypto/news headlines into a structured market thesis with bullish/bearish scenarios.
Dedicated spread tracker between Kalshi and Polymarket with historical divergence patterns and fill alerts.
Flags unusual orderflow and wallet behavior for thesis validation.
Aggregates odds from Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Drift, and betting exchanges into a consensus fair value.
Monitors Polymarket event conditions, tracks probability convergence, and flags mispriced contracts.
Monitors leveraged positions across exchanges to predict and flag cascade liquidation events.
Tracks large wallet movements and labels them by entity type for real-time flow intelligence.
Compares resolution rules for matching events across prediction markets to flag settlement risk in arb trades.
Finds funding rate discrepancies across perpetual venues for delta-neutral yield opportunities.
Scores upcoming macro events by expected market impact using historical analogs and AI classification.
Maps order book depth and fill probability across prediction venues to optimize arb execution.
Suggests hedge ratios for event-driven portfolios.
Real-time Greeks computation for crypto options with scenario analysis and P&L projections.
Finds entry points when price moves one average daily range away from the day open, targeting a reversion back.
Evaluates DeFi yield opportunities against smart contract risk, liquidity depth, and IL exposure.
Detects when mid-week price deviation from the weekly open reaches the average weekly range, targeting a reversion.
Monitors distance from the monthly open and signals reversion when price has extended beyond the average monthly range.
Builds end-of-day trade journal summaries with pattern detection.